[China's new energy auto index 3.0 released: Shenzhen City Index ranks second] On May 28, 2018, the latest data of the China New Energy Vehicle Index 3.0 (hereinafter referred to as NEVI) shows that in April 2018, the NEVI Composite Index was 38.7. This is a 6.5 increase from the previous month. Among them, the top five cities are Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing and Hangzhou.
As a comprehensive index that summarizes the running status of China's new energy vehicles by a single number, Caixin Media launched NEVI to use big data to interpret the pace of new energy vehicles in Chinese cities, objectively, scientifically, and forward-lookingly reflecting new energy vehicles in China. The development process shows the distinct urban characteristics of new energy vehicles in the Chinese market.
Numerically, NEVI rose slightly from the previous month this month; in the city index, Guangzhou rose from the fourth in the previous period to the first in the current period. This is also a significant manifestation of the demand for new energy vehicles in the city of Guangzhou in the past.
Recalling the Chinese new energy passenger vehicle market in the first four months of 2018, under the influence of various factors, the cumulative sales of China's new energy passenger vehicles reached 198,000, an increase of 133% year-on-year. The so-called "one yang changes the mood, two yang changes the point of view, and three yang changes the faith." This statement of the wizard, Cheng Dinghua, ten years ago also applies to the Chinese new energy passenger vehicle market in the first half of 2018.
After more than 50% growth for nine consecutive months, China's new energy passenger vehicle market is filled with an extremely optimistic mood. The previous prudence and concerns seem to have become redundant. Observing the development history of China's new energy passenger vehicle market since 2014, the Chinese new energy passenger vehicle market in the first quarter of 2018 has set a stage high of 133%. At this moment, we need to be alert to the optimism of demand for new energy vehicles and prevent the growth of new energy passenger vehicles from stalling in the last three quarters of 2018.
Based on the forecast and outlook of the NEVI research team for the 2018 China's new energy passenger vehicle market, it is expected that the growth of China's new energy passenger vehicle market in 2018 will feature highs and lows. From the second half of the second quarter, new energy will be used. The increase in demand for vehicles will enter the quarterly downward channel, and the demand for new energy passenger vehicles in 2018 will reach 861,000 units, an increase of 46.7% year-on-year.
Looking at and reviewing the development process of demand for new energy passenger cars in 2018, we analyzed the demand sources of new energy passenger vehicles at the current stage, and the main driving force behind the rapid growth in the sales of new energy passenger vehicles still comes from policy-driven and non- Personal consumption; Based on long-term considerations of market development, whether private consumption of new energy passenger vehicles can actually start is the sole criterion for judging the Chinese new energy passenger vehicle market entering a new stage.
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