Ericsson recently released the latest version of the Ericsson Mobile Market Report. The report shows that by 2018, the Internet of Things (IoT) will surpass mobile phones and become the largest number of interconnected terminals.
From 2015 to 2021, the Internet of Things is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 23%, with the growth of the cellular Internet of Things being the fastest. By 2021, the total number of interconnected terminals is expected to reach 28 billion, including nearly 16 billion IoT terminals.
Western Europe will continue to lead the IoT connection, and by 2021, the number of IoT terminals in the Western European market is expected to increase by 400%. The rapid growth in Western Europe is mainly due to government regulatory requirements (such as smart meters) and the growing demand for connected vehicles, including the EU e-call policy to be implemented in 2018.
Rima Qureshi, senior vice president and chief strategy officer of Ericsson, said: "With the continuous reduction of terminal costs and the emergence of innovative applications, the development of the Internet of Things is accelerating. Since 2020, commercial deployment of 5G networks will provide the Internet of Things. Important other features, such as 5G network slicing, and the ability to connect more than the current number of terminals."
The number of smartphone users is also increasing, and it is expected to exceed the number of ordinary mobile phone users in the third quarter of this year. In 2021, the number of smartphone users will increase from the current 3.4 billion to 6.3 billion, almost doubling. In addition, the report also shows that there are currently 5 billion mobile phone users worldwide (excluding duplicate users), which indicates that mobile technology has achieved significant improvements in a shorter period of time.
The report details the dramatic changes in teens' viewing habits: In just 15 months (2014-2015), the amount of cellular data that teens watched on their smartphones increased by 127%. In four years (2011-2015), the percentage of teenagers watching TV/video on TV screens has decreased by 50%, while the percentage of viewers watching TV/video via smartphones has increased by 85%. In addition, the new generation of mobile users is the biggest consumer of smartphone video streaming (Wi-Fi and cellular combination), which makes teenagers the most important consumer groups that mobile operators need to pay attention to.
In 2016, the commercial LTE network achieved a 1 Gbps downlink peak data transmission rate, achieving a long-awaited technical milestone. In the second half of 2016, it is expected that markets such as Japan, the United States, South Korea and China will be the first to introduce terminals that support 1 Gbps data transmission rate, and other regions will follow. With enhanced technology, mobile users will enjoy extremely fast content acquisition speeds, and the download speed will be 1.67 times faster than the current fastest technology.
Highlights of the Ericsson Mobile Market Report include:
Global growth: From 2015 to 2021, the number of mobile broadband users in the Middle East and Africa will increase fourfold; by 2021, India's mobile data traffic will increase by 15 times; although the United States is already the most mature market, only in the United States In 2016, its mobile traffic will increase by 50%.
The growth trend of data traffic is still not decreasing: from the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, global mobile data traffic increased by 60%, on the one hand, due to the increase in the number of smartphone users, and on the other hand, because each user consumes The amount of data has increased. It is estimated that by the end of 2021, approximately 90% of mobile data traffic will come from smartphones.
In the first quarter of 2016, the number of LTE users grew rapidly: driven by improved user experience and increased network speed demand, LTE added 150 million subscribers in the first quarter of 2016, and the total number of users worldwide reached 1.2 billion. The 1 Gbps LTE peak data rate is expected to be commercially available in 2016.
Spectrum collaboration is also required between countries planning to deploy 5G technology: 5G deployments are expected to start earlier than expected, and spectrum collaboration is required between countries planning to deploy 5G technology, which is beyond WRC-19's current process. The issue focuses on the spectrum used for 5G commercial deployment beyond 2020.
The Ericsson Mobile Market Report is the industry's leading mobile data traffic analysis report, providing in-depth evaluation of the global live network. The report provides insight into current traffic conditions and market trends in the online society through evaluation and analysis, as well as internal forecasts and other related research.
The Ericsson Traffic Finder used in this report can be used to create custom charts and tables. Information can be filtered by region, user, technology, traffic, and terminal type.
The report defines an interconnected terminal as a physical object that has an IP stack and supports two-way communication over a network interface.
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